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There's Only ONE Thing Wrong With ETNs
Written by Jim Wiandt   
Thursday, 08 May 2008 02:22

I'm not sure what gets people so fired up about ETNs. I think it's mostly about market share. Let's look at them from the INVESTOR'S standpoint.

Murray - You focus (in a pretty decent blog post) on the marketing aspects, double counting by firms and the facts that ETFs can do anything ETNs can. As an investor, I really don't care about all of that. All I really care about is the pudding. And for me the pudding is 1) Does the vehicle deliver the asset class? 2) How is the tracking? 3) What are the expenses? 4) Are there any risks in the product structure?

That's really all I care about. And if the fund company wants to try to sell the product using dancing cats that are smoking cigarettes, I really could care less.

So first, let's take a clear-eyed look at the positives and negatives of ETNs.

Positives:

  1. Perfect tracking
  2. Institutional scale/state-of-the-art
  3. Cleaner structure from an investor standpoint
  4. Possible tax advantages
  5. Access to investment areas that might otherwise be impossible to invest in (Murray is wrong that ETNs don't better open up less-liquid asset classes for tradable funds).

Negatives

  1. Credit risk
  2. Lack of transparency in what is going on with the underlying (notes)
  3. Lack of direct ownership in underlying securities (if by that we mean what the notes are trying to track)

Really, those 3 negatives only come down to ONE thing: It is the ONLY thing really wrong with the note structure. That is the credit risk associated with the issuer of the notes that underlie the funds. Just one itsy bitsy teensy weensy issue. But it is a doozy.

In so many ways I love notes, and I'm fully aware that large institution have trusted in them and gotten tremendous scale and tracking benefits from them over the years. But the fact of the matter is that the structure leaves itself open to possible abuse, on the margins or wholesale. Because what's happening is that the fund is taking my money, a large institution is writing notes giving me a guarantee of a certain index's return, and then, well who knows what is going on after that with the note issuer? Think of it as sort of when you give your money to a bank that pays you interest rates, but then there is a wide array of things they can do to MAKE money off of YOUR money. Only this form comes without government insurance.

And there is little question that Murray's point about the appeal of the products to investment banks has to do with the fact that they can sort of double dip, getting paid an ER on the funds, and getting paid by the fund for writing the notes. So how do they do that (build in some extra cost) and still deliver perfect tracking? There's obviously a little extra risk built in there somewhere for someone. Generally, it will fall on the bank, until the bank falls. Do I think Barclays Capital has it covered? Well, yeah. But even with them, there IS a small risk. And more importantly, where do we draw the line on how secure the issuer of the notes has to be?

It's just a can of worms. And the bigger these things get on the retail level, the more the SEC is going to have to look into, and potentially regulate, how the notes themselves are covered. I would love to see this debate opened up, so let's see your comments...and I've got another roundtable for you Matt - an ETN vs. ETF debate with the most knowledgeable people on either side.

One thing is clear: ETNs are a VERY different creature form ETFs, not just a marketing gimmick. Accordingly, we need to do a better job covering (and differentiating) them on this site, in the wider financial media and in the industry.

 

 

Latest comments on this feature

4 Latest comments on this feature.

You say that you are looking at ETN's from the investor's point of view. My question, in regards to your list of negatives associated with ETN's is, What kind of investor? Certainly it is not an investor looking for dividend income, since they are not structured (or at least the ones I have investigated} to pay out dividends, even though they may hold dividend-earning assets. There are many investors who consider dividend income important, but with ETN's the only way an investor can spend the dividend is to sell some of the shares.

Also, I wonder, without asserting a definitive knowledge of the subject, how serious tracking error is over the years . On the major indices, how much is a perfect vs. an almost perfect tracking record? Does tracking error always operate against the intestor? It is alwyas serious?

Lastly, the credit risk of ETN's should not be underplayed. No matter how lare and sound a financial institution may be at one time, there is likely to come a time when things go south, and their credit worthiness falls or even fails.

I just wonder, again, without knowing, if ETN's are not more beneficial to the financial institutions selling them than they are to investors.

Posted by Ray Hendon, on Thursday, 08 May 2008

I appreciate Jim's central thesis: credit risk is real and it is a real difference between ETN's v. ETF's. Certainly, the past 9-12 months have taught us all alot about credit risk. This alone has kept me from looking further into ETN's at this point.

As regards Ray's point concerning dividends, I have always assumed this was where both funds and notes retained some cash (i.e., taking the difference between the actual $$ paid out by the holdings and that which the fund itself paid out. I generally look at the individual yields of the top holdings and compare that with what the fund pays out and the expenses. If that all seems reasonable, the fund passes muster, at least in that regard.

Posted by Brad Johnson, on Thursday, 08 May 2008

I agree with the point of Jim's article regarding credit risk. If you only use them to trade with and not as a long term substitute for investing this will mitigate some of the risk. However, the Key is the credit worthiness of the issuing institution. Personally, I would prefer to use ETF's as opposed to ETN's even in trading.

Posted by Tim, on Thursday, 08 May 2008

Great comments on the article. Let me respond to the first comment first. Most ETNs DO pay dividend income...it's just built into the index return. You're right that you have to sell shares to access it, but would you rather do that and (possibly, only possibly) be subject only to cap gains tax, or be paying income tax all along? Your point on tracking error is largely correct, but her have been scattered instances of HUGE tracking error in MAJOR funds. So it's not a NONissue. On the last thing, these things being launched is ALL about the issuer gaining other benefits from them...that's my view...possibly even more than the once vaunted (and now downplayed) tax advantages and the ability to access asset classes that are otherwise tough to invest in. But again, that has little to do with me as an investor. I'm looking at the products onstraight merit from an INVESTOR standpoint.

I completley agree with Ray and Brad that the issue of credit risk IS a real issue. One additional thing I'd point out is that there are some very blurry lines between ETNs and ETFs. ETFs that use swaps, for example, ABSOLUTELY have the same credit risk as a note. I think it's critical that we differentiate and explain all the offerings.

Posted by Jim Wiandt, on Friday, 09 May 2008

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