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Contango Reports

Energy
WTI
WTI
Current Annualized Cost
4.53%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
4.14%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
5.58%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCWTI

CONTANGO WATCH: WTI is in contango across most of the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 4.53 percent annualized to roll front-month WTI contracts, up slightly from 4.14 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango

Brent
Brent
Current Annualized Cost
-8.76%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
-7.48%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
1.66%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCBrent

CONTANGO WATCH: Brent’s backwardation widened last week.

ROLL COSTS: Investors net 8.76 percent annualized from rolling front-month Brent contracts, up from a net of 7.48 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Backwardation

HH Natural Gas
HH
Current Annualized Cost
170.14%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
112.26%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
185.65%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCHH

CONTANGO WATCH: The natural gas contango widened significantly after the October futures contract expired and November became the front-month contract. The November-to-December roll is currently $0.29, or 170 percent annualized. The market is essentially already pricing in a rally in natural gas to $3.67 in December and $3.82 in January.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 170.14 percent annualized to roll front-month natural gas contracts.

BOTTOM LINE: Steep Contango

Precious Metals
Gold
Gold
Current Annualized Cost
0.64%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
0.82%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
1.27%
Contract Months:
Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec
RCGold

CONTANGO WATCH: Gold is in mild contango.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 0.64 percent annualized to roll front-month gold contracts, down from 0.82 percent.


BOTTOM LINE: Mild Contango

Silver
Silver
Current Annualized Cost
-6.85%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
4.53%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
-0.21%
Contract Months:
Jan Mar May Jul Sep Dec
RCSilver

CONTANGO WATCH: Silver is in backwardation at the front end of the forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: Investors net 6.85 percent annualized from rolling front-month silver contracts, down from a cost of 4.53 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Backwardation to Contango

Platinum
Platin
Current Annualized Cost
-3.86%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
1.00%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
0.65%
Contract Months:
Jan Apr Jul Oct
RCPlatin

CONTANGO WATCH: Platinum is in contango at the front end of the forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: Investors net 3.86 percent annualized from rolling second-month platinum contracts, down from a cost of 1 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango to Backwardation

Palladium
Pallad
Current Annualized Cost
0.81%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
7.67%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
1.44%
Contract Months:
Mar Jun Sep Dec
RCPallad

CONTANGO WATCH: Palladium is in mild contango at the very front end of the curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 0.81 percent annualized to roll front-month palladium contracts, down from a cost of 7.67 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Contango

Industrial Metals
Copper
Copper
Current Annualized Cost
0.22%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
0.22%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
-0.11%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCCopper

CONTANGO WATCH: Copper is in mild contango and mild backwardation throughout the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 0.22 percent annualized to roll second-month copper contracts, same as last week.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Contango to Mild Backwardation

Aluminum
Alum
Current Annualized Cost
5.70%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
8.61%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
6.27%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCAlum

CONTANGO WATCH: The aluminum forward curve is in steady contango.

ROLL COSTS: Front-month roll costs fell to 5.7 percent annualized, down from a cost 0f 8.61 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango

Zinc
Zinc
Current Annualized Cost
5.45%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
7.55%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
5.04%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCZinc

CONTANGO WATCH: Zinc is in contango across the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 5.45 percent annualized to roll front-month zinc contracts, down from a cost of 7.55 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango

Lead
Lead
Current Annualized Cost
-0.66%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
3.60%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
2.33%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCLead

CONTANGO WATCH: Lead is in contango across most of the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: Investors net 0.66 percent annualized from rolling second-month lead contracts, down from a cost of 3.6 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango to Backwardation to Contango

Nickel
Nickel
Current Annualized Cost
1.11%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
1.13%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
1.75%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCNickel

CONTANGO WATCH: Nickel is in mild contango throughout the forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: Roll costs for nickel edged down to 1.11 percent from 1.13 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Contango

Tin
Tin
Current Annualized Cost
-1.09%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
-1.43%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
-3.37%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCTin

CONTANGO WATCH: The tin forward curve is in mild backwardation at the front end of the curve and flat thereafter.

ROLL COSTS: Investors net 1.09 percent annualized from rolling front-month tin contracts, down from a net of 1.43 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Backwardation to Flat

Agricultural Commodities
Corn
Corn
Current Annualized Cost
1.72%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
1.62%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
10.06%
Contract Months:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
RCCorn

CONTANGO WATCH: Corn is in mild contango at the front end of the curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 1.72 percent annualized to roll front-month corn contracts, up slightly from a cost of 1.62 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Contango to Backwardation

Wheat
Wheat
Current Annualized Cost
4.90%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
4.55%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
15.35%
Contract Months:
Mar May Jul Sep Dec
RCWheat

CONTANGO WATCH: Wheat’s contango widened slightly last week.

ROLL COSTS: Wheat’s annualized front-month roll costs rose to 4.9 percent from 4.55 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango to Backwardation

Soybeans
SoyB
Current Annualized Cost
0.85%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
0.28%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
4.88%
Contract Months:
Jan Mar May Jul Aug Sep Nov
RCSoyB

CONTANGO WATCH: Soybeans is in mild contango at the front end of the curve and backwardation thereafter.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 0.85 percent annualized to roll front-month soybeans contract, up from a cost of 0.28 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Contango to Backwardation

Live Cattle
LiveC
Current Annualized Cost
19.32%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
14.96%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
9.24%
Contract Months:
Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec
RCLiveC

CONTANGO WATCH: Live cattle curve is in contango across most of the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 19.32 percent annualized to roll front-month live cattle contracts, up from a cost of 14.96 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango

Lean Hogs
LeanH
Current Annualized Cost
66.00%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
-6.36%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
62.70%
Contract Months:
Feb Apr May Jun Jul Aug Oct Dec
RCLeanH

CONTANGO WATCH: The front end of the lean hogs forward curve is in backwardation.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 66 percent annualized to roll second-month lean hogs contracts, up from a net of 6.36 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Backwardation to Contango to Backwardation

Soft Commodities
Coffee C
Coffee
Current Annualized Cost
8.94%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
9.78%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
8.04%
Contract Months:
Mar May Jul Sep Dec
RCCoffee

CONTANGO WATCH: Coffee is in contango throughout the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 8.94 percent annualized to roll front-month coffee contracts, down from a cost of 9.78 percent.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango

Cocoa
Cocoa
Current Annualized Cost
2.46%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
2.61%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
3.29%
Contract Months:
Mar May Jul Sep Dec
RCCocoa

CONTANGO WATCH: Cocoa is in contango across most of the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 2.46 percent annualized to roll front-month cocoa contracts.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango

Sugar #11
Sugar
Current Annualized Cost
-0.29%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
9.06%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
-12.47%
Contract Months:
Mar May Jul Oct
RCSugar

CONTANGO WATCH: Sugar is in mild backwardation at the front end of the curve.

ROLL COSTS: Investors net 0.29 percent annualized from rolling front-month sugar contracts.

BOTTOM LINE: Mild Backwardation to Contango

Cotton #2
Cotton
Current Annualized Cost
5.65%
Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous
9.77%
Historical 09/28 5YR Annualized Roll
7.61%
Contract Months:
Mar May Jul Oct Dec
RCCotton

CONTANGO WATCH: Cotton is in contango throughout the one-year forward curve.

ROLL COSTS: It costs investors 5.65 percent annualized to roll front-month cotton contracts.

BOTTOM LINE: Contango