Contango Reports
Contango Report: Natural Gas Contango Widens
December 10, 2012
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CONTANGO WATCH: Natural gas' contango widened a bit this week, but remains typical for this time of year. At $0.02, the front-month natural gas roll is relatively inconsequential, at least by natural gas standards. More pertinent for traders are weather forecasts, the key driver of natural gas over the winter months. Currently, the NOAA is calling for mild temperatures for the bulk of December, which has pressured prices in recent sessions. Has oil moved into backwardation yet? What does corn's roll yield look like? How do you know when it's time to buy—or sell?
Energy
WTI
WTI
Current Annualized Cost
7.89% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 7.74% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 27.71% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCWTI
CONTANGO WATCH: WTI's contango widened slightly; contango remains the dominant trend across the one-year forward curve. Brent
Brent
Current Annualized Cost
-10.43% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous -10.11% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 20.90% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCBrent
CONTANGO WATCH: Brent continues its march deeper into backwardation. HH Natural Gas
HH
Current Annualized Cost
9.79% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 7.99% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 10.80% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCHH
CONTANGO WATCH: Natural gas' contango widened a bit this week, but remains typical for this time of year. At $0.02, the front-month natural gas roll is relatively inconsequential, at least by natural gas standards. More pertinent for traders are weather forecasts, the key driver of natural gas over the winter months. Currently, the NOAA is calling for mild temperatures for the bulk of December, which has pressured prices in recent sessions. Precious Metals
Gold
Gold
Current Annualized Cost
0.91% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 0.70% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 0.92% Contract Months: Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec RCGold
CONTANGO WATCH: Gold saw a very slight widening of its contango, but roll costs are close to the five-year average historical roll for this date. Silver
Silver
Current Annualized Cost
1.63% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 1.17% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 1.11% Contract Months: Jan Mar May Jul Sep Dec RCSilver
CONTANGO WATCH: Silver saw its front-month contango widen slightly; trends across the one-year forward curve remain erratic. Platinum
Platin
Current Annualized Cost
1.41% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 0.88% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 1.63% Contract Months: Jan Apr Jul Oct RCPlatin
CONTANGO WATCH: Platinum moved slightly deeper into contango this week. Palladium
Pallad
Current Annualized Cost
0.80% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 1.68% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 1.31% Contract Months: Mar Jun Sep Dec RCPallad
CONTANGO WATCH: Palladium remains in mild contango at the front end of the curve. Industrial Metals
Copper
Copper
Current Annualized Cost
1.32% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 0.75% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 1.38% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCCopper
CONTANGO WATCH: Copper's contango widened slightly, remaining at mild levels. Aluminum
Alum
Current Annualized Cost
7.15% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 6.37% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 7.04% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCAlum
CONTANGO WATCH: Aluminum is in backwardation at the very front end of the curve and backwardation thereafter. Zinc
Zinc
Current Annualized Cost
6.28% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 5.74% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 5.65% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCZinc
CONTANGO WATCH: Zinc's steady contango widened a bit, remaining above the five-year average historical roll for this date. Lead
Lead
Current Annualized Cost
3.87% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 1.07% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 4.82% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCLead
CONTANGO WATCH: Lead's contango widened last week. Nickel
Nickel
Current Annualized Cost
1.48% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 1.30% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 1.73% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCNickel
CONTANGO WATCH: Nickel's mild contango widened slightly this past week. The commodity remains in steady contango across the one-year forward curve. Tin
Tin
Current Annualized Cost
-0.28% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous -0.27% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll -0.28% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCTin
CONTANGO WATCH: Tin remains in extremely steady mild backwardation. Agricultural Commodities
Corn
Corn
Current Annualized Cost
2.27% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous -1.37% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 11.91% Contract Months: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec RCCorn
CONTANGO WATCH: Corn flipped into contango at the front end of the curve. Wheat
Wheat
Current Annualized Cost
6.46% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 5.43% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 15.74% Contract Months: Mar May Jul Sep Dec RCWheat
CONTANGO WATCH: Wheat's contango deepened this past week, moving closer to the five-year average historical roll for this date, while remaining notably below it. Soybeans
SoyB
Current Annualized Cost
-0.30% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous -3.15% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 3.37% Contract Months: Jan Mar May Jul Aug Sep Nov RCSoyB
CONTANGO WATCH: Soybeans' backwardation narrowed this week. Live Cattle
LiveC
Current Annualized Cost
20.28% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 20.81% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 20.08% Contract Months: Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec RCLiveC
CONTANGO WATCH: Live cattle's contango narrowed a bit. Lean Hogs
LeanH
Current Annualized Cost
41.77% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 38.51% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 40.10% Contract Months: Feb Apr May Jun Jul Aug Oct Dec RCLeanH
CONTANGO WATCH: Contango at the front end of the lean hogs forward curve widened, but remained near typical levels. Soft Commodities
Coffee C
Coffee
Current Annualized Cost
12.25% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 11.99% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 9.21% Contract Months: Mar May Jul Sep Dec RCCoffee
CONTANGO WATCH: Coffee widened its steady contango slightly this past week, remaining slightly steeper than the five-year average historical roll for this date. Cocoa
Cocoa
Current Annualized Cost
0.25% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 0.71% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll 2.30% Contract Months: Mar May Jul Sep Dec RCCocoa
CONTANGO WATCH: Cocoa is in backwardation at the very front end of the curve and mild contango thereafter. Sugar #11
Sugar
Current Annualized Cost
3.82% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 0.00% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll -5.52% Contract Months: Mar May Jul Oct RCSugar
CONTANGO WATCH: Sugar is back in contango across the one-year forward curve. Cotton #2
Cotton
Current Annualized Cost
7.25% Annualized Cost 1 Week Previous 5.12% Historical 12/07 5YR Annualized Roll -2.31% Contract Months: Mar May Jul Oct Dec RCCotton
CONTANGO WATCH: Cotton's contango widened this past week. |
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