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IU: The longer-term picture is that bid/ask spreads keep widening for ETFs. Do you see this as a systemic problem?
Kranefuss: The current widening of bid/ask spreads is reflective on the volatile markets. Typically, correlations between the spread for the ETF and the spread of the underlying securities widen by the illiquidity of the underlying markets. So dealers have to make wider spreads on the ETF. That having been said, there are times when an ETF's spread can actually be tighter than on the underlying securities. For example, a few weeks ago, the spread on the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Index Fund (NYSE: HGY) was 26 basis points. At the same time, the spread on the underlying basket of bonds was trading at 56 basis points. The spreads on the ETF were much tighter than if investors bought the underlying bonds as individual issues.
IU: You recently launched asset allocation funds. Who is the market for these, and how will advisors use them in a portfolio?
Kranefuss: One of our key target markets is advisors. There are some segments of their business that would benefit from an ETF that offers a premixed diversified portfolio targeted to a particular date, such as a child's entering college or to a specific risk level. There are numerous other types of examples. These are another set of tools to build out a diversified portfolio. Life cycle funds are gaining increased interest in 401(k) plans, and we think that the iShares asset allocation funds are an excellent option for small 401(k) plans that are often advised by financial advisors. Currently, ETFs have small penetration into the 401(k) market, so we'll see how the new funds take off.
IU: Are there any plans to lower the expense ratio on the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (NYSE: EEM)?
Kranefuss: Through time, we've lowered expense ratios as warranted. We're always looking for opportunities. Right now, we feel that all of our products are well-priced; you can see by how asset flows are going into funds. Emerging markets are complicated and not easy to operate a fund against in terms of benchmarking. So people have done an assessment and found that EEM is fairly priced. And EEM is a bit more institutional-driven. It has been one of our fastest-growing funds, even in the current environment.
IU: What do you see as the big trends for ETFs in 2009?
Kranefuss: One big trend is going to be a shakeout in the industry. There are a lot of people who entered the business a year or two ago who don't have sustainable business models. People want to invest with experienced, stable, long-term-focused managers.
Another trend will continue to be the growth of ETFs. Mutual funds are losing assets. As people continue to learn the advantages of ETFs—transparency, relatively low costs, and tax efficiency—they're going to keep moving to ETFs. And as people face end-of-year capital gains possibilities, those advantages are going to become even more apparent.
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