IndexUniverse.com

Does Front-Running Hurt Oil Exchange-Traded Funds?
By Paul Amery | November 12, 2009

Related ETFs: USO


 

[Editor’s Note: A version of this article first appeared as a blog on IndexUniverse.eu, IndexUniverse.com’s sister site. European readers should regularly check IndexUniverse.eu, which provides in-depth analysis of European ETF news and complete European ETF data.]


My colleague, IndexUniverse.com editor Matt Hougan, recently asked me a question about a blog I wrote exploring the wide variance in the performance of ETFs tracking crude oil futures. The blog noted that there were 11 ETFs ostensibly tracking crude oil futures in Europe, but the funds had little in common beyond their name: In fact, their year-to-date performance through Oct. 31, 2009, varied from up 5.2 percent (ETF Securities Crude Oil ETC) to up 33.1 percent (ETF Securities Brent Oil ETC).

 

ETF/ETC Index/Market Tracked Performance 12/31/08 - 10/31/09 (%)
ETF Securities Crude Oil ETC DJ-UBS Crude Oil Sub-Index +5.2
Source Crude Oil T-ETC S&P GSCI Crude Oil Total Return Index +7.2*
ETF Securities Brent 3-Year ETC 3-Year ICE Futures Brent Contract +18.4
US Oil Fund LLP Front month NYMEX WTI Crude Oil +18.8
ETF Securities WTI Oil 3-Year ETC 3-Year NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Contract +19.1
ETF Securities Brent 2-Year ETC 2-Year ICE Futures Brent Contract +19.7
ETF Securities WTI Oil 2-Year ETC 2-Year NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Contract +21.3
ETF Securities Brent 1-Year ETC 1-Year ICE Futures Brent Contract +23.3
ETF Securities WTI Oil ETC Second-month NYMEX WTI Crude Oil +24.8
ETF Securities WTI Oil 1-Year ETC 1-Year NYMEX WTI Crude Oil Contract +27.3
ETF Securities Brent Oil ETC Front-month ICE Futures Brent Contract +33.1

*Based upon index return for the period 12/31/08 – 4/15/09, then ETC return


(You can read the full blog here.)

What caught Matt, I think, was that the top- and bottom-performing funds both track the “front-month” crude oil futures market. There’s a huge variety of oil ETFs in Europe, including funds tracking futures dated out three years, but these two front-month futures funds were the top and bottom performers.

Why the difference?

There are two primary reasons, it turns out.

First, Brent oil (which OILB tracks) has significantly outperformed WTI (tracked by CRUD) this year, as the chart below shows.

 

DoesFrontRunning-Fig1

 

 



 

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