Sections
Schiff: Steer Clear Of The Decaying Dollar
July 27, 2011
|
Page 1 of 3
Peter Schiff, president and chief global strategist of Euro Pacific Capital, is more convinced than ever that the U.S. economy is heading off a cliff. Now, he’s even preaching his gospel of gloom and doom weekday mornings on SchiffRadio.com. His biggest concern surrounding all the wrangling about the U.S. debt ceiling in Washington, D.C is that the debt limit gets raised at all. All that will do is make things worse, Schiff says. So, what’s an investor to do? In his unapologetic manner, he made clear to IndexUniverse.com Managing Editor Olivier Ludwig that the best way to prepare for the day the U.S. economy falls over that cliff is to steer clear of the dollar. That means owning things that will rise against the greenback, including gold and silver, as well as assets denominated in foreign currencies, including bonds and all sorts of stocks, particularly those of natural resources companies.
Ludwig: What’s your reaction to gold going through the ceiling? Schiff: I don’t think it’s gone through the ceiling yet. I think it will. The dollar is starting to fall too, although not quite through the floor yet. But it is at a record low today [July 26, 2011] against the Swiss franc, the Japanese yen, the New Zealand dollar and it’s almost at a record low against the Australian dollar. So the real crisis is coming, not because we fail to raise the debt ceiling, but because we succeed. That’s what the market is worried about—that Congress does raise the debt ceiling and it does so without meaningful reductions in government spending. The world doesn’t want to lend us $2 trillion a year. We can’t afford to pay it back, or pay back what we’ve already borrowed. Ludwig: So you’re not concerned that the economic blow from putting an end to the borrowing would be so severe that it would stagger the economy? You think the poison is better than the alternative? Schiff: Absolutely. But there’s no question that there will be some disruptions if we cut $1.5 trillion out of this year’s budget. Certainly a lot of people that have been getting government checks wouldn’t be getting those checks anymore. It’s like an alcoholic who stops drinking—he’s going to go through withdrawal but then he’s going to feel better; he’s going to get healthy. It would be a very helpful development if we cut $1.5 trillion from the budget. The economy would be in great shape, especially if we accompanied those cuts with a big reduction in government rules and regulation that inhibit the hiring process. Then we could hire all the people who get laid off from government jobs, and get those who aren’t currently working into productive employment. All that would happen if we could chop $1.5 trillion from government spending, because that spending is inhibiting the economy from growing right now. But there’s always going to be some transitionary pain when you move away from a bubble economy to a real economy. But the bubble’s going to burst eventually anyway, so if we pop it ourselves, it’s better than if we wait for it to happen on its own. Ludwig: What about on the revenue side? People, looking at bridges and such, say infrastructure in America is starting to look pretty Third World-ish. Does that imply tax increases, or is that pretty much off the table, in your mind? Schiff: I’d prefer to see these things handled locally. If there is an infrastructure problem—and there very well may be—why not stop the federal spending so that more local governments can handle the infrastructure?
|
Short-Seller’s Guide To GLD
Gold, despite its recent rebound, has gotten clobbered over the past three months.Looking Beyond VWO And EEM
Broad-based, cap-weighted ETFs were the way to play emerging markets over the past decade. But it’s time for investors to become more strategic and look beyond VWO and EEM.-
May 18, 2012
The Euro Is ‘Dead’: Here’s How To Survive It's time to look closely at investment expsosure involving the eurozone and the beleagured euro. -
May 10, 2012
South African Rand Holds Back EZA The rand, for now, is killing returns for U.S. investors in South Africa. -
May 10, 2012
Best/Worst Daily ETF Returns: EWAS Off 7.81% The Australia small-cap ETF 'EWAS' was the worst-performing fund on Wednesday, May 9, as markets sold off. -
April 24, 2012
Investor FX: Brazil ETFs Hurt By Weak Real A weakening Brazilian real is killing returns for U.S.-based investors in funds like EWZ. -
April 19, 2012
How To Play A Yuan Rally With China widening its currency trading bands, we ask what the best ETF to play the strong Chinese currency is: CYB, CNY or FXCH?
-
ProShares Launches Covered Bond ETF
May 23, 2012 6:45 am -
UBS Launches Geared Dividend ETNs
May 23, 2012 6:18 am -
iShares Plans LatAm Bond ETF
May 21, 2012 10:17 am -
First Trust Plans Broad Futures ETF
May 21, 2012 8:54 am -
Barclays To Sell Stake in BlackRock
May 21, 2012 5:15 am
|
|
|
|
JP Morgan & ETN Credit Risk
Paul & Ugo discuss the implications of J.P. Morgan's $2 billion loss, the European debt crisis and what it means for ETN investors.
See All
Previous Page


