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The fire sale on bond exchange-traded funds appears to be quickly winding down.
Heading into Monday, ETFs focused on almost all categories were trading at significantly less of a discount than at the beginning of last week. In fact, many are now selling at premiums. (See chart below.)
That means investors who were looking forward to taking advantage of bargains usually only available in closed-end fund markets will be disappointed this week.
Of course, veteran portfolio managers and advisors have been cautioning investors about trying to play ETFs like closed-end funds. (See previous story.)
The two are very different animals. Closed-end funds typically only sell new shares through an initial public offering. As a result, as existing shares are sold on exchanges, their underlying bond issues don't always line up with their overall portfolios' net asset values.
ETFs, on the other hand, are open-end funds and can issue new shares at any time. But unlike traditional open-end mutual funds, ETF shares can only be created and redeemed through institutional investors buying in large lots.
If underlying prices get too out of whack with NAVs, such a unique creation/redemption process is designed to provide incentives for market participants to profit by arbitraging individual pricing back to the value of the total basket of bonds.
But in the chaotic conditions of the global credit crisis, such arbitrage activity came to a screeching halt in recent weeks. As a result, market observers say that institutional investors have had their hands full of late. They also pointed to problems with valuing bond issues under current conditions.
But several developments have eased liquidity concerns across fixed-income markets in the past week. The London interbank offered rate, or LIBOR, reversed course and started falling from historically high levels. That's important since the drop-off shows that banks are lowering the rates they're charging each other.
Also, regulators in the U.S. and Europe expanded their bailout efforts, pumping money directly into wobbly financial institutions, and in some cases, buying shares outright.
How much were markets impacted as represented by bond ETFs? Consider that:
- High-yield bonds, referred to as "junk," and selling at double-digit discounts last week, now are trading at premiums in some cases. Most noticeable was the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (AMEX: HYG). It had a discount of nearly 28% just four trading days ago; it enters this week with a premium of more than 3%, according to Morningstar data.
- Broad bond ETFs taking a total market approach such as iShares Lehman Aggregate Bond Index (AMEX: AGG) fell from a better-than 8.8% discount to a discount of more than 2.3%. Even the relatively lightly traded Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (NYSEArca: BND) dropped from a nearly 2.5% discount to a slight discount.
- Several of the more popular muni bond ETFs, which are offering historically high yields in still-highly illiquid markets, are still trading with rather hefty premiums. But some recent expansion in supply, most notably a multibillion-dollar issue of new notes in California, is dropping those pricing bubbles. For example, the PowerShares Insured California Municipal Bond ETF (AMEX: PWZ) was trading with a premium of 9.73%; that's down to 1.88% this week. And the iShares National Municipal ETF (AMEX: MUB) is now selling for a premium a bit greater than 1%.
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Name
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Ticker
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Category
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Discount/Premium (%)
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iShares Lehman 7-10 Yr Treasury
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IEF
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Long Gov.
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0.00
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iShares Lehman 20+ Yr. Treasury
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TLT
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Long Gov.
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+0.24
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PowerShares 1-30 Ladd. Treasury
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PLW
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Long Gov.
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-0.04
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Vang. Ext. Dur. Treasury
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EDV
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Long Gov.
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+1.44
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SPDR Lehman Long Treasury
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TLO
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Long Gov.
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+0.15
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SPDR Lehman Int. Treasury
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ITE
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Inter. Gov.
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+0.11
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iShares Lehman 1-3 Yr Treasury
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SHY
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Short Gov.
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-0.020
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Vanguard Total Bond Market
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BND
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Intermed.
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-0.12
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iShares Lehman Aggregate
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AGG
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Intermed.
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-2.33
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SPDR Lehman Int'l Treasury
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BWX
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Internat'l
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+0.05
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Vanguard Intermediate -Term
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BIV
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Intermed.
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-0.44
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iShares S&P National Muni
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MUB
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Long Muni
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+1.02
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Vanguard Long-Term Bond
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BLV
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Long Bond
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+0.30
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SPDR Lehman New York Muni
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INY
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NY Muni
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0.00
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SPDR Lehman Calif. Muni
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CXA
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Calif. Muni
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+2.67
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PowerShares Emerging Market
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PCY
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Emer. Mkt
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-8.50
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iShares iBoxx Investment Grade
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LQD
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Long Corp.
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-1.80
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PowerShares Insured Calif. Muni
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PWZ
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Calif. Muni
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+1.88
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PowerShares Insured NY Muni
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PZT
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NY Muni
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+0.89
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iShares iBoxx High Yield Corp.
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HYG
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High Yield
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+3.02
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PowerShares Insured Nat'l Muni
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PZA
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Long Muni
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+0.52
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SPDR Lehman High Yield
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JNK
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High Yield
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+4.09
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PowerShares High Yield
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PHB
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High Yield
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+6.02
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Source: Morningstar Inc.
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