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The Security Selection Axis
The vertical axis of the Index Strategy Box™ diagram is Security Selection. Each row represents a primary strategy used to select index constituents from the financial markets. The categories are passive, screened and quantitative. Indexes that fall into each category typically have one of the security selection methods found in Table 1.
Table 1 – Sample Security Selection Categories and Methods
| Passive |
Screened |
Quantitative |
| - Full Replication |
- Fundamentals |
- Economic Cycles |
| - Sampling Strategies |
- Thematic |
- Forward Estimates |
| - Buy & Hold |
- Single Exchange |
- Momentum /Technical |
| - Single Securities |
- Niche Industry |
- Black Box |
Source: Portfolio Solutions, LLC
Passive security selection replicates a broad market or a segment of that market. Many passive indexes sample securities with the intent of representing a broad market or segment of the market. Single securities also can be thought of as passive indexes in that they represent the price movement of one item; i.e., a single currency or an ounce of gold.
Screened indexes filter through lists of securities, with the intent of weeding out unwanted issues. Screening starts with a broad market universe of securities and then eliminates those that do not meet certain criteria. Screens may include fundamental factors such as dividends, social issues, environmental issues, niche industry, single-exchange preference such as QQQQ, and a variety of other factors.
Quantitative security selection relies on computer modeling to isolate a small number of potentially superior investments. The intent of quantitative selection is to identify a basket of securities that are believed to offer better returns in the future than a comparable market index. Quantitative selection strategies have much higher turnover than passive or screened indexes. Several quantitative index providers hold their selection methodologies close for fear that their strategies will be compromised.
The Security Weighting Axis
Once securities are selected for an index, they need to be given a weight in the index. Investors need to be aware of how weighting schemes affect an index. Different weighting methods can radically change the fundamental characteristics of a securities basket, and that will have an effect on performance over a market cycle.
The horizontal axis of Index Strategy Boxes™ classifies weighting methodologies into three categories: capitalization, fundamental and fixed weight. Examples of weighting categories and methodologies are shown in Table 2.
Table 2 – Sampled Security Weighting Categories and Methods
| Capitalization |
Fundamental |
Fixed Weight |
| - Full Cap |
- Financial Factors |
- Equal Weight |
| - Free Float |
- Dividend Level |
- Modified Equal |
| - Constrained |
- Security Price |
- Leveraged |
| - Liquidity |
- Momentum |
- Short (inverse) |
| - Production |
- Qualitative Factors |
- Long/Short 130/30 |
Source: Portfolio Solutions, LLC
Index providers allocate securities using one of the three basic methods. A capitalization-weighted index allocates each security based on its relative market value compared to all other securities in that index. A fundamentally weighted index uses financial data or qualitative factors to allocate among index constituencies. Fixed weighting assigns a set weight to each security in an index or sectors within the index. Leverage, short, and long-short funds are also considered fixed-weighted indexes because the entire index value is changed by a fixed amount.
Securities in a capitalization-weighted index are allocated based on the market value of each security relative to all other securities in the index. Capitalization weighting is the standard method for security weighting worldwide. In the U.S. alone, there are hundreds of capitalization-weighted stock indexes covering all corners of the financial markets.
A fundamentally weighted index relies on a single factor or set of factors other than market capitalization to weight stocks. Weighting may be based on financial data such as dividends, earnings and earnings predictions, or it may be based on price momentum, company qualitative rankings or a multifactor weighting method that combines several items. Regular rebalancing is needed to keep the weightings in line.
Fixed-weighted indexes have a fixed allocation for each constituent in an index or groups of securities in an index. There are several types of fixed weights, including equal weighting, modified equal weighting using several fixed levels, and equal weighting of segments or industries. Indexes using leveraged, inverse, and long-short strategies are included here. Those strategies magnify changes in the entire market by a fixed amount. Regular rebalancing is needed to keep the weightings in line.
Using Index Strategy Boxes
Index Strategy Boxes™ data can help investors quickly and easily identify index strategies and pinpoint appropriate investment products. When using the system, it is assumed that an investor has already decided on a particular style of investing (fixed income, equity value, equity growth, small cap, etc.). The first step in index analysis is deciding if it is more advantageous to use a low-fee product that follows a market index or a higher-fee product that follows a custom index. The second step is analyzing index strategies more closely by using Index Strategy Box™ methodology, as well as other means.
Unfortunately, finding detailed information about indexes is often difficult. The information provided by index providers can be vague and ambiguous. In addition, there is little standardization of terminology. What is called a modified-equal weighting strategy by one provider may be called something different by another. To make matters worse, some providers claim their indexing methods are proprietary and release little relevant information on index construction.
Fortunately, efforts by advisors and investment managers are starting to yield results. Index providers are starting to share more information, and analysts are digging more deeply into index construction and its implications for ETF investments. It is hoped that Index Strategy Boxes™ can contribute to the greater flow of information, which will lead to better-informed decision making.
To learn more about index construction for ETFs
For investors and advisors who wish to learn more about which types of indexes are being tracked by which ETFs, much of the grunt work is being done for you. Index Strategy Box™ information for all ETFs is available at www.ETFguide.com.
In December 2007, a new book, The ETF Book, will cover index classification in much greater detail. The book and a related database are part of a growing effort to provide ETF investors with important information that they need to know. Buy the book from Amazon.com here.
Richard Ferri, CFA, is founder and CEO of Portfolio Solutions, LLC. The firm manages $1 billion in index funds and ETFs for private investors using strategic asset allocation methods. Ferri is a frequent speaker and writer on index funds, ETFs and asset allocation. A detailed discussion of his index classification methodology discussed in this paper is at www.PortfolioSolutions.com and The ETF Book [Wiley - December 2007].
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